Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.393174 0.452934 0.515618 0.585994 0.662525 0.742965 0.833638
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.303361 0.384746 0.475324 0.582497 0.704747 0.838816 0.995921
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.251230 0.348337 0.462328 0.603389 0.770695 0.960388 1.189303
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.198831 0.302864 0.431830 0.598562 0.803674 1.043351 1.340158
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.171889 0.284459 0.430680 0.626625 0.874742 1.171463 1.546101
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.140937 0.255525 0.411996 0.629543 0.913044 1.259780 1.705699
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.116146 0.230965 0.395642 0.632686 0.949816 1.345531 1.862709
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.099462 0.215579 0.389689 0.648008 1.001378 1.449705 2.043410
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.086897 0.204482 0.388219 0.668317 1.059019 1.561849 2.235209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.076060 0.194337 0.386733 0.687641 1.114987 1.672170 2.425839
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.062411 0.176546 0.371377 0.685273 1.140243 1.742102 2.565249
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053490 0.165892 0.366038 0.696698 1.184116 1.836554 2.736858
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042511 0.148925 0.348913 0.689702 1.202367 1.898284 2.868679
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031556 0.128864 0.323991 0.668566 1.198879 1.929951 2.961032
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026535 0.121411 0.320617 0.681052 1.244260 2.028580 3.142958
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019924 0.107496 0.303448 0.669663 1.253335 2.076796 3.257829
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017746 0.105497 0.309011 0.696121 1.319646 2.205389 3.482008
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013890 0.096741 0.299962 0.696989 1.346644 2.278902 3.632277
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010803 0.089026 0.292013 0.698997 1.374992 2.354322 3.785604
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008994 0.085197 0.291886 0.714547 1.424490 2.460269 3.981540
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007722 0.082953 0.294950 0.735719 1.482998 2.579591 4.196707
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006575 0.080645 0.297567 0.756014 1.540334 2.697759 4.411234
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004767 0.073565 0.288080 0.753307 1.560520 2.762073 4.551517